According to the United Nations, India's population is projected to peak in the early 2060s at around 1.7 billion and then decline by 12 percent, but the country will remain the most populous in the world throughout. the century, said the UN.
The World Population Prospects 2024 report, released here on Thursday, says the world's population is expected to continue growing over the next 50 to 60 years, peaking at around 10.3 billion people by mid-decade. in 2080, down from 8.2 billion in 2024. After peaking, the world's population is expected to gradually begin to decline, reaching 10.2 billion people by the end of the century.
India, which overtook China as the world's most populous nation last year, will continue to hold that position until the year 2100.
"India's population, expected to remain the world's largest throughout the century, will likely decline by 12 percent after peaking in the early 2060s at around 1.7 billion." , says the UN report published by the United Nations Department of Economic Affairs. and Social Affairs (DESA), said the Population Division.
According to the report, India's population in 2024 is projected to be 1.45 billion and will peak at 1.69 billion in 2054. After this, India's population is projected to decline to 1.5 billion by the end of the century in 2100. , but the country will continue to be the most populous nation on Earth.
Responding to a question about demographic projections for India, Senior Population Affairs Officer of the United Nations DESA Population Division, Clare Menozzi, told a press conference that "India is currently the largest country in the world. world in terms of population, and is expected to continue throughout the century.
"Its size is supposed to peak around the 2060s and then start to decline slightly. Therefore, it is projected that by the end of the century, India will have around 1.5 billion people, but it will still be the country largest in the world by a wide margin.
The report says China's population, currently 1.41 billion in 2024, will fall to 1.21 billion in 2054 and continue to decline to 633 million in 2100.
"China, the country that currently has the second largest population in the world, is likely to experience the largest absolute population loss between 2024 and 2054 (204 million), followed by Japan (21 million) and Russia (10 million) . "Longer-term demographic projections are more uncertain" for China, she said.
"However, due to its large size and sustained low fertility, China is also likely to see the largest population decline of any country until the end of the century (786 million people). By 2100, China is projected to have lost more than half of its current population and have returned to a population size comparable to that recorded in the late 1950s (50 percent probability)."
Responding to a question about the significantly low population projection for China, UN DESA Population Division Director John Wilmoth said that "it really relates to the level of fertility that is currently seen in China. The current figure is around one birth per woman." on average over a lifetime."
"Given that 2.1 births are needed to maintain the current population without migration, if fertility levels remain at such a low level, even if they increase slightly, any fertility level if it is below two, or especially below of 1.8 or below 1.5, "We are really reaching low levels of fertility and this produces a long-term decline that is quite significant and that is true for China and for some other countries in this analysis," he said Wilmoth.
The World Population Prospects 2024 report, released here on Thursday, says the world's population is expected to continue growing over the next 50 to 60 years, peaking at around 10.3 billion people by mid-decade. in 2080, down from 8.2 billion in 2024. After peaking, the world's population is expected to gradually begin to decline, reaching 10.2 billion people by the end of the century.
India, which overtook China as the world's most populous nation last year, will continue to hold that position until the year 2100.
"India's population, expected to remain the world's largest throughout the century, will likely decline by 12 percent after peaking in the early 2060s at around 1.7 billion." , says the UN report published by the United Nations Department of Economic Affairs. and Social Affairs (DESA), said the Population Division.
According to the report, India's population in 2024 is projected to be 1.45 billion and will peak at 1.69 billion in 2054. After this, India's population is projected to decline to 1.5 billion by the end of the century in 2100. , but the country will continue to be the most populous nation on Earth.
Responding to a question about demographic projections for India, Senior Population Affairs Officer of the United Nations DESA Population Division, Clare Menozzi, told a press conference that "India is currently the largest country in the world. world in terms of population, and is expected to continue throughout the century.
"Its size is supposed to peak around the 2060s and then start to decline slightly. Therefore, it is projected that by the end of the century, India will have around 1.5 billion people, but it will still be the country largest in the world by a wide margin.
The report says China's population, currently 1.41 billion in 2024, will fall to 1.21 billion in 2054 and continue to decline to 633 million in 2100.
"China, the country that currently has the second largest population in the world, is likely to experience the largest absolute population loss between 2024 and 2054 (204 million), followed by Japan (21 million) and Russia (10 million) . "Longer-term demographic projections are more uncertain" for China, she said.
"However, due to its large size and sustained low fertility, China is also likely to see the largest population decline of any country until the end of the century (786 million people). By 2100, China is projected to have lost more than half of its current population and have returned to a population size comparable to that recorded in the late 1950s (50 percent probability)."
Responding to a question about the significantly low population projection for China, UN DESA Population Division Director John Wilmoth said that "it really relates to the level of fertility that is currently seen in China. The current figure is around one birth per woman." on average over a lifetime."
"Given that 2.1 births are needed to maintain the current population without migration, if fertility levels remain at such a low level, even if they increase slightly, any fertility level if it is below two, or especially below of 1.8 or below 1.5, "We are really reaching low levels of fertility and this produces a long-term decline that is quite significant and that is true for China and for some other countries in this analysis," he said Wilmoth.
